Low Impact
EconomicEvery month

Consumer Confidence

Survey measuring how optimistic consumers feel about the economy.

Quick Answer

Consumer Confidence surveys measure how optimistic or pessimistic consumers are about current and future economic conditions. Two main surveys exist: Conference Board (released end of month) and University of Michigan (mid-month). High confidence suggests consumers will spend; low confidence suggests caution.

On This Page

Overview

Consumer Confidence surveys measure how optimistic or pessimistic consumers are about current and future economic conditions. Two main surveys exist: Conference Board (released end of month) and University of Michigan (mid-month). High confidence suggests consumers will spend; low confidence suggests caution.

What It Is

Consumer Confidence measures how people feel about the economy and their financial situation. It's based on surveys asking about job prospects, income expectations, and willingness to make big purchases.

Timing & Schedule

Typical Time

10:00 AM ET (Conference Board) / 10:00 AM ET (Michigan)

Schedule Notes

Conference Board: Last Tuesday of month. Michigan: Preliminary mid-month, final end of month.

Typical Schedule

J
F
M
A
M
J
J
A
S
O
N
D

Every month

Key Metrics to Watch

1
Present Situation Index
2
Expectations Index
3
Inflation Expectations (Michigan)

Trading Strategies

Common Mistakes to Avoid

Overweighting sentiment data

Why It Happens

How to Avoid

Be aware and plan accordingly

Historical Examples

Aug 29, 2023

Consumer confidence fell sharply on inflation and job worries.

Consumer confidence fell sharply on inflation and job worries.

Market Reaction:

Preparation Checklist

  • Focus on inflation expectations (Fed watches this)
  • Compare to actual spending data for context